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Suk Bum Yoon
Pages 127-155
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Abstract || PDF
- This paper is devoted to construction of a small scale simultaneous equation model, in which growth, distribution and poverty reduction are interlinked among themselves and unilaterally affected by other exogeneous explanatory variables. A further devoution is made in this paper to empirically estimate the model with available statistical infromation from Asia and the Pacific region in order to investigate inter-connected linkages among various variables. The results wouldb be optimistic evidences that with few exception. by 2015, most of countries in the region would have realized attaining the goal of reducing poverty incidence into a half.
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Pages 157-176
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Abstract || PDF
- ´ã¹è¿¡ ºÎ°úµÇ´Â °Ç°ºÎ´ã±ÝÀÇ ÀλóÀº ´ã¹è°¡°ÝÀÇ Àλó¿äÀÎÀ» Á¦°øÇÏ¿© ´ã¹è¼ö¿ä¸¦ °¨¼Ò½ÃÄÑ ±¹¹Îº¸°ÇÀ» Çâ»ó½ÃŲ´Ù´Â ¸ñÀû°ú ÇÔ²² Á¤ºÎ ¼¼¼öÀÔÀ» Áõ´ë½ÃÅ°·Á´Â Àǵµ¸¦ °¡Áö°í ÀÖ´Ù. º»°í¿¡¼ ´ã¹è¿¡ ºÎ°úµÇ´Â °Ç°ºÎ´ã±ÝÀÇ ÀλóÀÌ ´ã¹è¼Òºñ·®°ú Á¤ºÎÀÇ ¼¼¼öÀÔ¿¡ ¹ÌÄ¡´Â È¿°ú¸¦ CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» ÀÌ¿ëÇÏ¿© °è»êÇÑ °á°ú¸¦ º¸¸é, °Ç°ºÎ´ã±Ý 200¿ø ÀλóÀÌ Àüü´ã¹è¼Òºñ·®À» ¾à 11%Á¤µµ·Î Å©°Ô °¨¼Ò½ÃÅ°´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î ³ªÅ¸³µ´Ù. ÀÌ´Â °ø°øÀÇ °Ç°À» º¸È£ÇÏ·Á´Â °Ç°ºÎ´ã±Ý Àλó Á¤Ã¥ÀÌ º¸°ÇÁ¤Ã¥À¸·Î ½ÇÈ¿¼ºÀÌ ÅÀ» ½Ã»çÇÏ°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, Á¤ºÎÀÇ Á¶¼¼¼öÀÔµµ ÃÖ¼Ò 10%Á¤µµ Áõ°¡ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î ³ªÅ¸³ª°í ÀÖ´Ù. ¹Ý¸é¿¡ ´ã¹è¼öÀÔÀ» ¿¡»ó°ú ´Þ¸® 2.5% ¼ÒÆø °¨¼ÒÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ¸·Î °è»êµÇ¾ú´Ù.
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Pages 177-217
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Abstract || PDF
- º» ³í¹®Àº CGE(Computable General Equilibrium) ¸ðÇü¿¡ °üÇÑ ±âÁ¸ÀÇ ¿¬±¸µéÀ» °íÂûÇÑ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ±× ¸ñÀûÀº ±âÁ¸ÀÇ ¿¬±¸µéÀ» »ìÆ캽À¸·Î½á CGE ¸ðÇüÀÇ ÇöÁÖ¼Ò¸¦ ÀÌÇØÇÏ°í ¾ÕÀ¸·ÎÀÇ ¿¬±¸¹æÇâÀ» ¼³Á¤Çϴµ¥ µµ¿òÀÌ µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ±âº»ÀûÀÎ ³»¿ëÀ» ¼Ò°³Çϴµ¥ ÀÖ´Ù. À̸¦ À§ÇØ ¿ì¼±, ÀüÅëÀûÀÎ ÀϹݱÕÇüÀÌ·ÐÀ¸·ÎºÎÅÍ CGE ¸ðÇü¿¡ À̸£´Â CGE ¸ðÇüÀÇ ¿¬Çõ°ú CGE ¸ðÇüÀÇ ±¸Á¶¸¦ »ìÆ캸¾Ò°í, ´Ù¾çÇÑ ÇüÅÂÀÇ CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» ³× °¡Áö ±âÁØ—¸ðÇü°ú(modelling) ÀüÅë, °Å½Ã¸¶°¨(macro closure) ¹æ½Ä, ½ÃÀå°æÀïÁ¤µµ, ¸ðÇüÀÇ µ¿Å¼º ¿©ºÎ—À» ÀÌ¿ëÇÏ¿© ºÐ·ùÇÏ¿´À¸¸ç, ¸¶Áö¸·À¸·Î CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» ÀÌ¿ëÇÑ ¿¬±¸°á°úµéÀ» ÀÀ¿ëºÐ¾ßº°—¹«¿ª(ÀÚÀ¯È)¡¤ÀçÁ¤Á¤Ã¥, ȯ°æ¡¤¿¡³ÊÁö Á¤Ã¥—·Î »ìÆ캸¾Ò´Ù.
ƯÈ÷ CGE ¸ðÇüÀÇ ºÐ·ù´Â ½Å°íÀüÇÐÆÄ¿Í CGE ¸ðÇü¿¡ Çö½ÇÀûÀÎ Ãø¸éµéÀ» ¹Ý¿µÇÏ´Â °úÁ¤¿¡¼ ºñ·ÔµÈ ´Ù¼öÀÇ ¿¬±¸µéÀ» ¸î °¡Áö ±âÁØ¿¡ ÀÇÇØ ±¸ºÐÇÑ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ù°, ¸ðÇüÈ ÀüÅë¿¡ µû¶ó CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» Johansen ¸ðÇü, Scarf-Shoven-Whalley ¸ðÇü, Adelman and Robinson ¸ðÇü, ±×¸®°í Hudson and Jorgenson ¸ðÇüÀ¸·Î ±¸ºÐÇÏ¿´´Ù. µÑ°, °Å½Ã¸¶°¨ ¹æ½Ä¿¡ µû¶ó CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» ½Å°íÀüÇÐÆÄ °Å½Ã¸¶°¨¹æ½Ä°ú °Å½ÃÀû ±¸Á¶ÁÖÀÇÀÚ °Å½Ã¸¶°¨¹æ½ÄÀ¸·Î ±¸ºÐÇÏ¿´´Ù. °Å½ÃÀû±¸Á¶ÁÖÀÇÀÚ °Å½Ã¸¶°¨¹æ½ÄÀ» Johansen ¹æ½Ä, Keynesian¹æ½Ä, ±×¸®°í Fisherian ¹æ½ÄÀ¸·Î ±¸ºÐÇÏ¿´´Ù. ¼Â°, ½ÃÀå°æÀïÁ¤µµ¿¡ µû¶ó CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» ¿ÏÀü°æÀï ¸ðÇü°ú ºÒ¿ÏÀü°æÀï ¸ðÇüÀ¸·Î ±¸ºÐÇÏ¿´´Ù. ¸¶Áö¸·À¸·Î, ¸ðÇüÀÇ µ¿Å¼º ¿©ºÎ¿¡ µû¶ó CGE ¸ðÇüÀ» Á¤Å¸ðÇü°ú µ¿Å¸ðÇüÀ¸·Î ±¸ºÐÇÏ¿´´Ù.
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The Korean Journal of Economics, Vol. 9, No. 2 (Autumn 2002)